
Are Public Officials
Explaining Test Scores Adequately?
Q. What are we to make of situations
in which the same set of students look pretty good on one standardized test,
but pretty so-so on another? How can you tell which test is accurate?
Officials can jimmy the "cut scores"
and "pass rates" of statewide standardized tests to suit their purposes -
create a "crisis" that "requires" more tax funding, for example -- or make
themselves look better than they really are. The statistical gymnastics are endless,
to the point where we need a Consumer
Reports type evaluation of information dispensed by our own state
officials, whose salaries are paid by . . . us!
According to Matthew Ladner, vice president of research at the
Arizona-based Goldwater Institute, it's difficult for the public to sort
through all the information about what test scores mean, especially when top
state education officials don't understand what the scores mean, either, or
perhaps fuzz up the meaning if it makes them look bad.
He wrote this message to supporters in April 2008:
"Recently
I appeared on the Horizon public affairs program together with State
Superintendent of Public Instruction Tom Horne, to discuss the No
Child Left Behind law and our state AIMS test.
During the discussion, Superintendent Horne said
the main reason Arizona students perform poorly on the national NAEP test, also
known as the Nation's Report Card, is due to a non-alignment of standards.
"If,
for example, Arizona does not teach the math concepts in fourth grade that
appear on the fourth grade math NAEP, one could expect lower average grades.
"The explanation seems
quite plausible, and doubtlessly there are some states that have better aligned
their standards to NAEP than others. But how big a deal is this, in terms of
Arizona's performance? As a study done by the American Institute of Research
shows, not much.
"The study compared
international science scores for eighth graders to eighth grade NAEP science
scores. Singapore came in first, with 55 percent of students ranked as
"proficient" or above. Massachusetts was the highest-performing U.S.
state, with 41 percent proficient. Just 20 percent of Arizona eighth grades
ranked proficient.
"Alignment error ought
to be much greater between nations than between American states. Furthermore,
one would be hard pressed to buy into the notion that countries such as
Singapore, Korea, Estonia, Hungary, and Slovakia simply have national standards
more closely aligned to the American NAEP test than Arizona.
"When we get clobbered
in science proficiency by countries like Estonia, we have problems
that go much deeper than standards alignment.
Nation (or State) 8th Grade Science Scores
|
Percent Scoring "Proficient" or Above
|
Nation (or State) 8th Grade Science Scores
|
Percent Scoring "Proficient" or Above
|
Singapore
|
55
|
Lithuania
|
25
|
Taipei
|
52
|
Slovenia
|
24
|
South Korea
|
45
|
Russia
|
24
|
Hong Kong
|
44
|
Scotland
|
24
|
Japan
|
42
|
Belgium
|
22
|
Estonia
|
41
|
Latvia
|
21
|
Massachusetts
|
41
|
Malaysia
|
20
|
England
|
38
|
Arizona
|
20
|
Hungary
|
38
|
Israel
|
18
|
Netherlands
|
31
|
Bulgaria
|
17
|
Australia
|
30
|
Italy
|
17
|
Sweden
|
28
|
Norway
|
15
|
New Zealand
|
26
|
Romania
|
14
|
Slovakia
|
26
|
Serbia
|
12
|
Homework: For more good education coverage,
see the archives of the Goldwater
Institute.